Tuesday, 8 November 2016
Clinton drops below 270
Clinton's electoral vote total is at 268 when you add up
all the states that are solidly or leaning in her direction
and Donald Trump's is 204 when you combine all the
states that are solidly or leaning in his direction. That
leaves six remaining battleground contests worth a
total of 66 electoral votes in Arizona, Florida, Nevada,
New Hampshire, North Carolina, and the second
congressional district in and around Omaha, Nebraska.
It's important to note what this map reflects and what
it does not reflect: while Trump has made gains,
Clinton remains in a much stronger electoral position
than the GOP nominee. In the current snapshot, Clinton
would only need to win one of the remaining toss-up
states to secure the presidency. Trump needs to win
all of them. However, this current map does represent
an ever-so-slightly less steep mountain for him to to
climb to 270 electoral votes.
The changes to the map reflect current polling,
reporting with the campaigns and affiliated groups
tracking the state of play in each critical state,
television advertising decisions made by the campaigns
and outside groups, and the candidate/surrogate travel
schedules.
This is not a prediction of where the map will end up
on Tuesday night when the votes are counted, it is
simply a snapshot heading into the homestretch.
Solid Republican:
Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4),
Indiana (11), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8),
Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (3), Nebraska
(4), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (9),
South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (38), West
Virginia (5), Wyoming (3) (157 total)
Leans Republican:
Georgia (16), Iowa (6), Maine 2nd Congressional
District (1), Ohio (18), Utah (6) (47 total)
Battleground states:
Arizona (11), Florida (29), Nevada (6), Nebraska 2nd
Congressional District (1), New Hampshire (4), North
Carolina (15), (66 total)
Leans Democratic:
Colorado (9), Michigan (16), Pennsylvania (20), Virginia
(13), Wisconsin (10), (68 total)
Solid Democratic:
California (55), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), DC (3),
Hawaii (4), Illinois (20), Maine (3), Maryland (10),
Massachusetts (11), New Jersey (14), New York (29),
Oregon (7), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington
(12), Minnesota (10), New Mexico (5) (200 total)
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